Chapter 1: Risk and Risk
Management
1.1 Introduction
An initial concept to understand is that risk is not a bad thing – some
element of risk taking is required to gain rewards, both in finance and in life.
It is the management of this risk that is key. Understanding the probability
and impact of risks is the first step in managing risk. Working through the
risk process and getting to the point where a risk is being properly mitigated
is part of the journey in becoming a risk manager.
This chapter provides an understanding of risk throughout the financial
services industry and an understanding that its management is a topic outside
of financial services.
1.2 Risk and Risk Management
Before learning about risk management, it is best to understand the concept
of risk. Once a person understands that not all risk is dangerous, then a more
thoughtful approach to risk management and its mitigation can be
considered.
Risk
Risk combines the uncertainty of some event occurring and the additional
uncertainty of the effect of that event. Most importantly, we need to
understand that risk may have positive or negative outcomes.
For some, the focus of risk in financial services has been on the negative:
Excessive risk was taken by banks in concentrating their loans on sub
prime loans. The outcome was huge losses for these banks and knock
on effects to the global economy and society during the Great
Recession of the late 2000s.
Continental Illinois was once one of the largest commercial banks in
the United States with approximately $40 billion in assets. During the
1980s it was bailed out due to a liquidity crisis prompted by a flight of
wholesale investors and creditors alarmed by the bank’s excessive
exposure to energy and less developed countries.
Nick Leeson, an employee in Barings Bank, was able to circumvent
internal controls and took on unauthorised market positions. The
outcome was losses greater than Barings Bank could absorb resulting in
the collapse of the bank.
Royal Bank of Scotland was involved in the largest bank acquisition
ever through a deal to purchase ABN Amro bank. The outcome was a
bank overstretched for capital when other parts of its business were
stressed by a financial crisis. While the bank survived, its CEO was
forced to resign and a multi-billion pound bailout had to be provided by
the UK government.
Risk can also be a positive force and result in a reward in financial services.
Some examples:
Extending credit to a customer is rewarded with a series of payments
that cover the original loan and reward the credit institution with
interest for the use of the funds extended.
Investing in a bond from an EU Government is rewarded with interest
payments for providing funds to allow government services to be
financed.
A firm decides to go into business in a new area – for example selling
insurance to car owners as well as providing loans for their cars.
All three scenarios may have adverse outcomes – the loan may end up
unpaid, the bond may default, and the insurance business may not make a
profit due to premiums not covering claims – but these risks are taken in an
attempt to improve a business.