Trade, Competition, and the Pricing of Commodities Edited by Simon J. Evenett and Frédéric Jenny
1 Introduction
Simon J Evenett and Frédéric Jenny
University of St Gallen and CEPR; ESSEC Business School
Having fluctuated in a relatively narrow band for almost 20 years, according to
the UN Food and Agricultural Organisation, real food prices spiked in 2008 and in
2010–11 (FAO, 2011). These spikes were not expected and there are no guarantees
that food prices will return to their previous plateau. In its latest report on The
State of Food Insecurity in the World, the FAO estimated that just under 240 million
persons were undernourished in Africa in 2008; the comparable number for Asia
was just over 560 million persons (FAO, 2011: 8).
High food prices are not the only concern. According to the FAO, (2011) ‘Price
volatility makes both smallholder farmers and poor consumers increasingly
vulnerable to poverty,’ thereby compromising the ability of governments to
reach one of the most important Millennium Development Goals. Policies
were directly implicated in these developments. One of the FAO report’s ‘main
messages’ was the following:
Small import-dependent countries, especially in Africa, were deeply
affected by the food and economic crises. Some large countries were able
to insulate their markets from the crisis through restrictive trade policies
and protect their consumers through safety nets. However, trade insulation
increased prices and volatility in international markets (FAO, 2011: 8).
The purpose of this volume, composed of papers presented at a conference
co-organised by CEPR and CUTS in Geneva in September 2012, is to identify
and assess the importance of the factors responsible for the recent increases in
the levels and volatility of commodity prices. While many have stressed the
consequences of export restrictions and the like on such prices, the approach
taken here is broader. In addition to considering the impact of commercial policies
(see the chapter by Hoekman and Martin), the impact of financial speculation
and anticompetitive practices on commodity prices are examined (for the former
see the chapter by Radetski; for the latter see the four chapters by McCorriston,
Connor, Jenny, and Mehta et al).
Widening the scope beyond trade policy interventions is important because – to
the extent that non-trade factors can be convincingly shown to have played an
adverse role in raising the level and volatility of commodity prices – the design
of policy responses at the national and international level ought to take account
of all of the relevant causes. Moreover, in the case of financial speculation and
anticompetitive practices there are few, if any, major international accords to
limit the harm done by them – on commodity prices or other outcomes for that
matter.
In principle, then, stabilising commodity prices may require developments in the
international architecture of rules in a number of policy areas. Put another way,
developments in recent years in commodity prices may well have revealed wide
gaps in the rules governing the world economy. This volume will have served its
purpose if it encourages greater consideration of these matters and the associated
policy reforms.
Now it should be stated that no single volume is going to definitively settle these
matters. Others will want to collect their own data, probe the evidence further,
and carefully assess the national and international policy implications. This
process of refinement and reconsideration is essential to proper policymaking.
Still, it is our hope that this volume widens and deepens the debate on a matter
of considerable significance to developing countries and to the vulnerable
everywhere.
Reference
FAO (2011), The State of Food Insecurity in the World, Rome.
Trade, Competition, and the Pricing of Commodities Edited by Simon J. Evenett and Frédéric Jenny