Chapter 1
Risk
It is a dirty fact, but everyone on Wall Street knows the stock
market could not function without Dumb Money. Dumb Money—
and that is how Wall Street classifi es outsiders—always does what
most benefi ts Wall Street. Dumb Money buys stocks when it should
sell, and panics and sells when buying makes more sense. This is a pri-
mary reason why Wall Street makes so much money when most
everyone else fails, or inches forward, in the stock market. If not for the
positive effect of infl ation, and corporate stock dividends, which repre-
sent more than 45 percent of historical stock gains, most investors
would have sharply smaller investment portfolios.
Now, as Baby Boomers confront retirement, and younger gen-
erations worry they will not live as well as their parents, millions of
people are beginning to understand that they must get much smarter,
much faster, about the stock market if they ever want to retire, pay
for their children’s college educations, or lead lives that eventually bear
some semblance of fi nancial ease.
The old ideas of coasting toward retirement by regularly investing
in stocks and effortlessly doubling stock portfolio values every seven
or so years as the stock market advanced are no longer valid. The
Credit Crisis of 2007, and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis that sparked
in 2009, have unleashed new fi nancial realities that are likely to prove
true Wall Street’s adage that the stock market hurts the most people,
most of the time.
Yet, the future need not be as diffi cult as the recent past.
A well trod path exists that anyone can follow to better deal
with Wall Street and the stock market. This path has quietly existed
for centuries. The path was carved out, and continually refi ned, by a
small group of people who typically avoid the fi nancial calamities that
ensnare everyone else. This group of investors has historically dom-
inated the fi nancial market, and quietly snickered at the widespread
idea, birthed in the late nineteenth century by John Stuart Mill, that
people can make rational fi nancial decisions.
Mill called his idea Homo economicus. He declared his Economic
Man capable of making decisions to increase his wealth. Mill’s man has
persisted ever since like some fi nancial Frankenstein even though the
fi nancial markets are so complex—especially in the past 40 years—that
it is increasingly apparent that Mill’s man, today known simply as John
and Jane Investor, has great diffi culty profi tably navigating the stock
market.
In sharp contrast to Mill’s incarnation is a small group of people
who make more money than they lose. In keeping with Mill’s use of
Latin, think of people in that group as Homo Indomitabilis.
The Indomitable Man is different than everyone else in the mar-
ket. He leads a life of counterintuitive thought and action that is per-
haps best summed up by a simple idea: Bad investors think of ways to
make money. Good investors think of ways to not lose money. Those
17 words are the most important words any investor can know. Learn
the meaning of those words, and you have a chance of real success
in the stock market.
The difference between the idea of the good investor and bad
investor is profound. One idea ensures you eventually give back prof-
its, and likely some, or all, of your initial investment, to Wall Street.