CHAPTER 1
BASIC ECONOMICS
Investing is about making your money grow. That can’t happen
unless the securities you invest in grow and pay out earnings. And
that is directly tied in to the health of the economy.
The most basic premise of the economy is this: If consumers
spend money, the economy can grow; if they don’t, it can’t. When
the economy is sluggish, consumer spending lags, overall corporate
growth stagnates, and investors see poor returns. When the
economy is booming, people spend money, corporations prosper,
and investments grow. In fact, consumer spending makes up most
of our gross domestic product (GDP), and that keeps the economy
flowing.
Understanding how the economy works, the cycles it goes
through, and the impact changes have on the markets can help
make you a more successful investor. In fact, investors who pay
attention to the economy can be more successful because they can
take advantage of impending changes. While everyone else is
focused on what’s happening right now, economically savvy
investors can focus on what’s coming—and profitable investing is all
about future growth.
BUYING AND SELLING
The Lifeblood of the Economy
It’s certainly the case that the economy today is a very complicated,
fast-moving mechanism. How could it be otherwise? We live in a
world inhabited by nearly seven and a half billion people who are
engaged in a never-ending interaction with one another. Some are
buying; some are selling; some are manufacturing; some are
consuming. Economics as a system allocates the things we need to
live.
Broadly speaking, if you’re going to get involved in investing your
money, you don’t need to know a lot about how the economy works
or the finer points of its more obscure corners. You do, however,
need to understand some basic things about it.
“The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and
buys from pessimists.”
—Jason Zweig
Value and Price
Humans buy and sell things because those things have value. This
value is partly what you use them for (for instance, you use food to
survive, you use a car for transportation, and you use movie tickets