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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 21:01:31 -

Are cognitive biases always bad?
Are Cognitive Biases Always Bad? The Question That Assumes Too Much Clarity A person recognizes a pattern in others’ behavior. They assume someone is angry because of a single sharp message, ignoring alternative explanations. Sometimes they are wrong. Sometimes they are right. The same mental shortcut produces both accurate and inaccurate judgments. This creates an uncomfortable...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:59:55 -

Why do cognitive biases exist?
Why Do Cognitive Biases Exist? The Question Hidden Inside an Error A person is asked to estimate the likelihood of rain tomorrow. They remember a recent storm. The memory is vivid, emotionally charged, easy to retrieve. They overestimate the probability. From the outside, this looks like a mistake in reasoning. But the deeper question is not why the estimate is wrong. It is why the mind...

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