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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:32:59 -

What is hindsight bias?
What Is Hindsight Bias? The Illusion That the Past Was Predictable After an election result is announced, people say they “saw it coming.” After a stock market crash, they insist the signs were obvious. After a relationship ends, they feel they always knew it would not last. The event, once it occurs, seems almost inevitable. Yet before it happened, uncertainty was real. This...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:39:08 -

What is the Dunning-Kruger effect?
What Is the Dunning-Kruger Effect? The Confidence That Arrives Before Competence A person completes a short online test on a complex topic. They perform poorly. But when asked to evaluate their performance, they express strong confidence. They believe they did well—perhaps even above average. Meanwhile, individuals with significantly better performance tend to be more cautious in...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:41:46 -

How do cognitive biases affect decision-making?
How Do Cognitive Biases Affect Decision-Making? The Quiet Distortion Beneath Every Choice A manager selects a candidate. An investor commits capital. A patient agrees to a treatment. Each decision feels deliberate, reasoned, and grounded in evidence. Yet beneath this surface of deliberation, a quieter process is often at work. Cognitive biases shape what is noticed, how it is...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:44:48 -

What is anchoring bias?
What Is the Anchoring Bias? The First Number That Quietly Organizes Thought A person is asked whether the height of a mountain is more or less than 2,000 meters. Then they are asked to estimate its actual height. Even if the initial number is arbitrary, their estimate tends to cluster around it. If the number had been 10,000 instead, their estimate would shift upward. Nothing about the...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:48:02 -

How do biases affect financial decisions?
How Do Biases Affect Financial Decisions? The Illusion of Rational Money A person reviews their investment portfolio late in the evening. Numbers move across the screen. Some positions are green, others red. The decisions behind each position feel deliberate, even analytical. Yet when retracing the path that led here, something less orderly often appears. A recent news story influenced a...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:54:34 -

Why do people struggle to save money?
Why Do People Struggle to Save Money? The Gap Between Intention and Behavior A person decides to save more money this month. They set a clear goal. They even feel confident about it. But as the weeks pass, expenses appear, small purchases accumulate, and the savings goal is quietly postponed. By the end of the month, little has changed. This pattern is extremely common. It is not...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:01:17 -

Why do investors make emotional decisions?
Why Do Investors Make Emotional Decisions? The Myth of the Purely Rational Investor An investor opens a trading app. A portfolio flashes green and red. Prices move in real time. Decisions that look like calculations are made in seconds. But beneath the numbers, something less mechanical is often guiding action. A sudden drop triggers panic. A rapid gain creates excitement. A long...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:04:23 -

How does fear affect markets?
How Does Fear Affect Markets? When Perception Moves Faster Than Fundamentals A financial market begins to fall. At first, the decline is small. Then it accelerates. News headlines become more cautious. Investors start checking prices more frequently. Soon, selling increases not only because of new information, but because of what others appear to believe. Fear spreads through the...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:06:40 -

Why do people overspend?
Why Do People Overspend? The Gap Between Intention and Spending Behavior A person checks their budget in the morning. They decide to be careful with money. By the evening, several small purchases have been made. None of them feel significant on their own. Together, they quietly exceed the intended limit. Overspending rarely comes from a single large decision. It usually emerges from...

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Michael Pokrovski

toegevoegd een audio Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:09:52 -

Why do people make irrational decisions?
Why Do People Make Irrational Decisions? The Idea of Irrationality and Everyday Choice A person decides to avoid a small guaranteed gain in favor of a risky option with uncertain outcome. Another person buys an expensive item during a sale, even though they do not need it. A third delays an important task despite knowing it will create future stress. From a purely logical perspective,...

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