PART ONE
THE UNEXPECTED STORM
AUGUST 1914
- PROLOGUE
What an extraordinary episode in the economic progress of man that
age was which came to an end in August 1914!
—JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES, The Economic Consequences of the Peace
IN 1914, London stood at the center of an elaborate network of
international credit, built upon the foundations of the gold standard. The
system had brought with it a remarkable expansion of trade and
prosperity across the globe. The previous forty years had seen no big
wars or great revolutions. The technological advances of the midnineteenth century—railways, steamships, and the telegraph—had spread
across the world, opening up vast territories to settlement and trade.
International commerce boomed as European capital flowed freely
around the globe, financing ports in India, rubber plantations in Malaya,
cotton in Egypt, factories in Russia, wheat fields in Canada, gold and
diamond mines in South Africa, cattle ranches in Argentina, the Berlinto-Baghdad Railway, and both the Suez and the Panama canals.
Although every so often the system was shaken by financial crises and
banking panics, depressions in trade were short-lived and the world
economy had always bounced back.
More than anything else, more even than the belief in free trade, or the
ideology of low taxation and small government, the gold standard was
the economic totem of the age. Gold was the lifeblood of the financial
system. It was the anchor for most currencies, it provided the foundation
for banks, and in a time of war or panic, it served as a store of safety. For
the growing middle classes of the world, who provided so much of the
savings, the gold standard was more than simply an ingenious system for
regulating the issue of currency. It served to reinforce all those Victorian
virtues of economy and prudence in public policy. It had, in the words of
H. G. Wells, “a magnificent stupid honesty” about it. Among bankers,
whether in London or New York, Paris or Berlin, it was revered with an
Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World by Liaquat Ahamed