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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 21:06:51 -

What is an example of a cognitive bias?
What Is an Example of a Cognitive Bias? A Simple Question With a Non-Simple Answer A person is asked whether more words in English begin with the letter “K” or have “K” as the third letter. Most people choose the first option. It feels correct. Immediate. Intuitive. But it is wrong. In reality, far more English words contain “K” in the third position...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 21:01:31 -

Are cognitive biases always bad?
Are Cognitive Biases Always Bad? The Question That Assumes Too Much Clarity A person recognizes a pattern in others’ behavior. They assume someone is angry because of a single sharp message, ignoring alternative explanations. Sometimes they are wrong. Sometimes they are right. The same mental shortcut produces both accurate and inaccurate judgments. This creates an uncomfortable...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-10 13:10:37 -

Are cognitive biases subconscious?
Are Cognitive Biases Subconscious? The Thought You Did Not Notice Having A decision is made in under a second. Not a dramatic decision. No visible struggle. No deliberation that feels like deliberation. A job candidate is evaluated. A stock is chosen. A stranger is trusted. A headline is believed. Only afterward does the mind construct a justification—a narrative that feels like...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-10 12:07:05 -

Can behavioral economics improve public policy?
Can Behavioral Economics Improve Public Policy? The Letter That Collected Millions A government agency wanted citizens to pay their taxes on time. The traditional solution was familiar. Increase enforcement. Expand audits. Strengthen penalties. Communicate the legal consequences of noncompliance. Instead, researchers tested something remarkably simple. They changed a sentence in a letter....

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:13:55 -

Can cognitive biases be avoided completely?
Can Cognitive Biases Be Avoided Completely? The Desire for Unbiased Thinking It is a common idea that better awareness should lead to better thinking. If people understand cognitive biases, it seems reasonable to expect they could simply avoid them. Make the process conscious. Correct for the distortion. Reach objective judgment. In practice, the situation is more complicated. Cognitive...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Productivity
2026-04-27 21:00:23 -

Can procrastination be cured?
Can Procrastination Be Cured? Procrastination is one of the most commonly discussed productivity problems, yet also one of the most misunderstood. People often ask whether it can be “cured” in the same way a disease can be eliminated. This framing is understandable, but it is not accurate in a strict psychological sense. Procrastination is not a medical condition with a single...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:21:22 -

Can training reduce biases?
Can Training Reduce Biases? A group of experienced professionals enters a training room. Some are physicians. Others are judges. A few manage investment portfolios worth millions of dollars. Many have decades of experience making consequential decisions. The instructor begins with a simple exercise. Participants answer a series of questions involving probabilities, risk assessments, and...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:15:58 -

How can I avoid cognitive biases?
How Can I Avoid Cognitive Biases? A physician reviews a patient's symptoms and reaches a diagnosis within seconds. An investor feels certain a stock is destined to rise. A hiring manager instantly likes a candidate during the first minute of an interview. A voter reads a headline and immediately knows who is right. Different people. Different situations. Different stakes. Yet the same...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:17:32 -

How do biases affect critical thinking?
How Do Biases Affect Critical Thinking? Critical Thinking and Its Ideal Critical thinking is often described as the ability to evaluate information objectively, question assumptions, and reach well-reasoned conclusions. In theory, it operates like this: Identify a claim Gather relevant evidence Evaluate the evidence logically Reach a justified conclusion This model...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:48:02 -

How do biases affect financial decisions?
How Do Biases Affect Financial Decisions? The Illusion of Rational Money A person reviews their investment portfolio late in the evening. Numbers move across the screen. Some positions are green, others red. The decisions behind each position feel deliberate, even analytical. Yet when retracing the path that led here, something less orderly often appears. A recent news story influenced a...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:11:44 -

How do biases affect judgment?
How Do Biases Affect Judgment? The Invisible Shaping of What Feels True A manager evaluates two job candidates. Both have similar qualifications. One is interviewed first and makes a strong initial impression. The second performs slightly better on paper but feels less memorable. The final decision favors the first candidate. From the outside, the reasoning may appear straightforward....

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