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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:21:22 -

Can training reduce biases?
Can Training Reduce Biases? A group of experienced professionals enters a training room. Some are physicians. Others are judges. A few manage investment portfolios worth millions of dollars. Many have decades of experience making consequential decisions. The instructor begins with a simple exercise. Participants answer a series of questions involving probabilities, risk assessments, and...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:15:58 -

How can I avoid cognitive biases?
How Can I Avoid Cognitive Biases? A physician reviews a patient's symptoms and reaches a diagnosis within seconds. An investor feels certain a stock is destined to rise. A hiring manager instantly likes a candidate during the first minute of an interview. A voter reads a headline and immediately knows who is right. Different people. Different situations. Different stakes. Yet the same...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:48:02 -

How do biases affect financial decisions?
How Do Biases Affect Financial Decisions? The Illusion of Rational Money A person reviews their investment portfolio late in the evening. Numbers move across the screen. Some positions are green, others red. The decisions behind each position feel deliberate, even analytical. Yet when retracing the path that led here, something less orderly often appears. A recent news story influenced a...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:41:46 -

How do cognitive biases affect decision-making?
How Do Cognitive Biases Affect Decision-Making? The Quiet Distortion Beneath Every Choice A manager selects a candidate. An investor commits capital. A patient agrees to a treatment. Each decision feels deliberate, reasoned, and grounded in evidence. Yet beneath this surface of deliberation, a quieter process is often at work. Cognitive biases shape what is noticed, how it is...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:20:22 -

How do cognitive biases affect investing?
How Do Cognitive Biases Affect Investing? Investing as a Psychological Process Investing is often described as a rational activity. In theory, it involves: Analyzing data Estimating future value Managing risk Making optimal allocations In practice, investing is also a psychological process. It involves interpreting uncertainty, reacting to changing prices, and...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:13:48 -

How do psychologists study biases?
How Do Psychologists Study Biases? Imagine a researcher walks into a classroom and asks a simple question. A city has a population of 600,000 people. Which is more likely? There is a person named Michael in the city. There is a person named Michael who is a lawyer. Most people answer correctly. The first option must be more likely. Then the researcher changes the description....

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 21:04:40 -

How many cognitive biases are there?
How Many Cognitive Biases Are There? The Question That Sounds Precise but Isn’t A student of decision-making opens a list of cognitive biases. Availability bias. Anchoring. Confirmation bias. Loss aversion. Framing. Overconfidence. The list continues. Then expands. Then branches. At some point, the question naturally arises: how many cognitive biases are there? It feels like a...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:14:36 -

What are cognitive biases?
What Are Cognitive Biases? The Invisible Patterns Behind Everyday Thinking A doctor reviews a patient's symptoms. An investor studies market data. A voter reads the latest headline. A manager evaluates a job candidate. All believe they are seeing reality as it is. And most of the time, they are wrong—not because they lack intelligence, expertise, or effort, but because the mind...

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:56:57 -

What are cognitive biases?
What Are Cognitive Biases? The Quiet Distortions Inside Clear Thinking A person is asked a simple question: “Which is more likely: a dramatic event, or a dramatic event explained in detail?” Most people choose the second option. It feels more plausible. More complete. More “real.” But logically, this cannot be correct. Adding detail cannot increase probability....

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Michael Pokrovski

добавлена новая статья Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:33:55 -

What did behavioral economists discover?
What Did Behavioral Economists Discover? The Quiet Collapse of a Perfect Model For much of the twentieth century, economics was built on an elegant assumption: humans behave like rational agents. They gather information, process it consistently, and choose the option that maximizes utility. The model was not meant to describe people perfectly. It was meant to simplify reality. And for a...

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