How accurate are economic predictions?

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2026-05-07 17:24:09 -

How Accurate Are Economic Predictions? There is an old temptation in economics: the belief that enough data, enough computational power, and enough technical sophistication will eventually allow economists to forecast society with the precision of astronomy. Gross domestic product will rise by 2.4%. Inflation will stabilize in the third quarter. Unemployment will peak in May and retreat by...

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