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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:48:02 -

How do biases affect financial decisions?
How Do Biases Affect Financial Decisions? The Illusion of Rational Money A person reviews their investment portfolio late in the evening. Numbers move across the screen. Some positions are green, others red. The decisions behind each position feel deliberate, even analytical. Yet when retracing the path that led here, something less orderly often appears. A recent news story influenced a...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:20:22 -

How do cognitive biases affect investing?
How Do Cognitive Biases Affect Investing? Investing as a Psychological Process Investing is often described as a rational activity. In theory, it involves: Analyzing data Estimating future value Managing risk Making optimal allocations In practice, investing is also a psychological process. It involves interpreting uncertainty, reacting to changing prices, and...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-10 12:22:12 -

How do emotions affect financial decisions?
How Do Emotions Affect Financial Decisions? The Investor Who Changed His Mind Overnight On a Friday afternoon, an investor reviewed her portfolio. The numbers looked strong. Her retirement plan was on track. Her asset allocation aligned with her goals. The market had experienced a few minor fluctuations, but nothing unusual. She felt confident. By Monday morning, that confidence had...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 06:04:23 -

How does fear affect markets?
How Does Fear Affect Markets? When Perception Moves Faster Than Fundamentals A financial market begins to fall. At first, the decline is small. Then it accelerates. News headlines become more cautious. Investors start checking prices more frequently. Soon, selling increases not only because of new information, but because of what others appear to believe. Fear spreads through the...

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Leonard Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Economics
2026-03-25 07:16:43 -

How Econometrics Is Used in Business Decision-Making
How Econometrics Is Used in Business Decision-Making Econometrics—the application of statistical methods to economic data—has become an essential tool in modern business decision-making. In an increasingly data-driven world, firms rely on econometric techniques to extract insights from large datasets, test hypotheses, forecast future trends, and optimize strategies. By combining...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:27:50 -

How to make better decisions?
How to Make Better Decisions? A young investor buys a stock because everyone seems excited about it. A manager hires the candidate who made the strongest first impression. A patient chooses a medical treatment after reading a single success story. An entrepreneur launches a product because the opportunity feels irresistible. Months later, some of these decisions succeed. Others fail....

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-09 05:29:10 -

What is availability bias?
What Is Availability Bias? When Memory Becomes a Substitute for Probability A person hears about a plane crash on the news. It is detailed. It is vivid. It is repeated across multiple channels. In the following weeks, flying begins to feel unusually dangerous. Not because the actual risk has changed. But because examples of danger have become easier to recall. This is availability...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-10 12:16:54 -

What is loss aversion in finance?
What Is Loss Aversion in Finance? The Investor Who Couldn't Sell An investor purchases a stock at $100 per share. Months later, the stock trades at $70. The company's prospects have deteriorated. New information suggests the investment thesis is no longer valid. Rational analysis points toward selling and reallocating the capital elsewhere. Yet the investor hesitates. Days pass. Weeks...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:30:31 -

What is prospect theory?
What Is Prospect Theory? The Moment Where Economic Theory Meets Human Behavior A person is offered two choices: A guaranteed gain of $500 A 50% chance to gain $1,000, and a 50% chance to gain nothing Most people choose the guaranteed $500. Now reverse the framing: A guaranteed loss of $500 A 50% chance to lose $1,000, and a 50% chance to lose nothing Now most...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-11 12:34:24 -

What is the framing effect in marketing?
What Is the Framing Effect in Marketing? A shopper stands in front of two nearly identical packages. One says: “95% fat-free.” The other says: “Contains 5% fat.” Same product. Same nutrition. Same underlying reality. Yet one feels healthier. More appealing. Less risky. The shopper reaches for it almost automatically, without noticing the mental step that made...

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