• How long do recessions last?
    How Long Do Recessions Last? Economic downturns possess a peculiar quality: while they are happening, they feel permanent. Factories close. Credit contracts. Newspapers begin speaking in the language of emergency. Politicians discover sudden convictions about fiscal restraint they somehow lacked during the boom. Families postpone purchases. Businesses postpone hiring. Everyone waits for...
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  • What is a recession?
    What Is a Recession? There is a peculiar ritual that modern societies perform whenever the economy begins to weaken. Politicians deny it. Economists redefine it. Central bankers explain it away. Journalists soften the language with euphemisms. And ordinary people, sensing the deterioration long before official confirmation, quietly begin to change their behavior. They postpone purchases. They...
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