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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:28:18 -

Who is Daniel Kahneman?
Who Is Daniel Kahneman? The Question Behind the Question Most biographies begin with a date, a place, a résumé of achievements. This one begins differently. A young soldier in the 1940s is tasked with evaluating whether his peers are suitable for leadership roles. He observes them briefly—sometimes for only a few minutes—and then writes down his impressions. He...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:33:55 -

What did behavioral economists discover?
What Did Behavioral Economists Discover? The Quiet Collapse of a Perfect Model For much of the twentieth century, economics was built on an elegant assumption: humans behave like rational agents. They gather information, process it consistently, and choose the option that maximizes utility. The model was not meant to describe people perfectly. It was meant to simplify reality. And for a...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:30:31 -

What is prospect theory?
What Is Prospect Theory? The Moment Where Economic Theory Meets Human Behavior A person is offered two choices: A guaranteed gain of $500 A 50% chance to gain $1,000, and a 50% chance to gain nothing Most people choose the guaranteed $500. Now reverse the framing: A guaranteed loss of $500 A 50% chance to lose $1,000, and a 50% chance to lose nothing Now most...

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:54:09 -

Why did traditional economics fail to predict behavior?
Why Did Traditional Economics Fail to Predict Behavior? The Elegance That Met Reality Traditional economics was built with a certain kind of confidence. It assumed that individuals are rational, consistent, and stable in their preferences. It assumed that given enough information, people would choose the option that maximizes their utility. The model was elegant. Internally consistent....

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Michael Pokrovski

adicionou um novo artigo Decision Making and Problem Solving
2026-06-08 20:45:33 -

Why do people fear losses more than gains?
Why Do People Fear Losses More Than Gains? The Asymmetry That Shows Up Everywhere A person is offered a choice: Receive $100 for sure Or flip a coin: win $200 or win nothing Most people hesitate, then choose the sure $100. Now reverse the structure: Lose $100 for sure Or flip a coin: lose $200 or lose nothing Now many people take the gamble. Nothing in the...

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