• How Central Banks Control the Economy
    How Central Banks Control the Economy There is perhaps no institution in modern economic life more powerful, more opaque, or more intellectually protected than the central bank. Kings once clipped coins. Emperors once debased silver. Modern democracies have achieved something far more sophisticated: they have outsourced monetary manipulation to committees of economists in expensive suits,...
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  • How Do Banks Affect the Economy?
    How Do Banks Affect the Economy? The modern man believes banks store money. This is a charming fiction, repeated so often it has acquired the status of civic religion. Parents tell it to children. Economists tell it to freshmen. Politicians tell it to voters. But the balance sheet tells another story entirely. Banks do not merely store money. They manufacture it. That distinction changes...
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  • Is it a good time to save or spend?
    Is It a Good Time to Save or Spend? There is a peculiar insanity to modern economic life: the harder people work to become financially secure, the more financially fragile they become. A generation ago, saving money was considered an act of prudence. Today, it is treated almost as a pathology. Central bankers openly fear savers. Governments quietly punish them. Financial media ridicules them....
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  • What causes an economic crisis?
    What Causes an Economic Crisis? There is a peculiar ritual modern societies perform every decade or so. The newspapers publish charts no one reads until panic begins. Television economists explain that the collapse was “unexpected.” Politicians promise investigations into the very institutions they subsidized, regulated, and protected. Central bankers appear before microphones with...
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  • What is a recession?
    What Is a Recession? There is a peculiar ritual that modern societies perform whenever the economy begins to weaken. Politicians deny it. Economists redefine it. Central bankers explain it away. Journalists soften the language with euphemisms. And ordinary people, sensing the deterioration long before official confirmation, quietly begin to change their behavior. They postpone purchases. They...
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  • What Is Economic Growth?
    What Is Economic Growth? A farmer in medieval Europe could spend an entire year cultivating wheat and still produce barely enough calories to survive winter. A modern American farmer, sitting inside an air-conditioned combine harvester guided by satellites, feeds hundreds of people while listening to a podcast. The difference between these two men is not morality, nor geography, nor luck. It...
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  • What Is GDP?
    What Is GDP? A civilization can build cathedrals, split the atom, compose fugues, and map the human genome, yet modern economists will often reduce its success to a quarterly percentage point. That number is GDP. Three letters. Gross Domestic Product. The sacred statistic of contemporary statesmanship. Presidents celebrate it. Central bankers manipulate economies in pursuit of it. Television...
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  • Who controls the economy?
    Who Controls the Economy? There is a comforting fiction taught in modern democracies: the economy is managed. Somewhere, in marble buildings populated by economists with equations and polished shoes, serious people supposedly pull levers that guide prosperity with the precision of an engineer operating a turbine. Recessions are “stimulated” away. Inflation is...
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  • Why do interest rates go up?
    Why Do Interest Rates Go Up? There is something almost theological in the way modern people discuss interest rates. When rates are low, journalists write as if prosperity has been ordained. When rates rise, politicians behave like medieval priests confronted with drought. Television economists furrow their brows, central bankers release statements written in the sterile dialect of bureaucratic...
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